• 136 - Selling Stocks for Value Investors (Part 1: Strategy Matters)

  • Jul 10 2022
  • Durée: 29 min
  • Podcast

136 - Selling Stocks for Value Investors (Part 1: Strategy Matters)

  • Résumé

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    Mental Models discussed in this podcast:
    • Second-Order Effects
    • Mean Reversion
    • Factor Investing
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    Show Outline

    • Selling Series
      • A lot of time is spent on buying stocks. Yet, almost just as important, if not more is knowing when to sell stocks.
      • I find this area relatively underexplored, so I want to begin a long-term series on selling stocks from the framework of a value investor.
      • Previously talked about selling in a single episode on Ep. 106
    • Today’s focus: Strategy matters
      • There is no one-size fits all approach
      • How you buy stocks will influence how you sell them
      • Your portfolio allocation strategy will matter
      • THe number of stocks you review in a year will matter
      • Whether you plan to own a cash position or not will matter.
    • Excluded from this series:
      • Won’t be discussing momentum investing
      • Won’t be discussing trading or technical analysis investing (except as a marginal part of value investing when relevant)
      • Entire focus assumes that you are a value investor of some sort (whether deep value, compounder, graham value, quality, etc…)
    • Deep Value:
      • Buy at 2/3rds of value and sell at “full price”
    • Compounders:
      • You want to hold for a long-time.
      • Sell when compounding ends, plateaus or you were wrong
    • Net-Nets
      • Hold a year then reassess
    • Waterfall Stocks:
      • Hold so long as dividend yield is sufficient to provide target return
    • Dividend Growth Investing:
      • Buy companies that pay dividends and grow them and sell them when they cut or eliminate their dividends
    • Buy and Hold
      • “Never sell”
      • Works for a subset of stocks
      • Tends to overlap well with compounders and Dividend Growth investing
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