• Altman Expects a ‘Fast Take-off’, ‘Super-Agent’ Debuting Soon and DeepSeek R1 Out

  • Jan 20 2025
  • Durée: 13 min
  • Podcast

Altman Expects a ‘Fast Take-off’, ‘Super-Agent’ Debuting Soon and DeepSeek R1 Out

  • Résumé

  • OpenAI looks set to debut their Operator system, and some leaks are out. At the same time Deepseek R1 releases some numbers, and Sam Altman says he might have been wrong before, and now anticipates a 'fast take-off'. Plus two papers to give you an idea of what a super-agent might be decent at doing, some more exclusive article analysis and much more. Who said anything else is happening today...

    80,000 Hours Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCafjal1QYJ3rb0Y9xZk1Ezg
    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2WzJwXWBDnn4iZ7odKwDib

    AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    01:13 - Pro Cost and OpenAI Operator
    04:00 - Agent Benchmarks Being Targeted
    07:48 - Fast Take-off, Altman
    08:48 - Altman flip-flops
    10:02 - Deepseek R1 First Reaction

    Altman ‘100x expectations out of control’: https://x.com/sama/status/1881258443669172470
    OpenAI Operator Table: https://x.com/btibor91/status/1881285255266750564
    WebVoyager: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.13919
    OSWorld: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.07972
    Axios Exclusive 1 (SuperAgent): https://www.axios.com/2025/01/19/ai-superagent-openai-meta?s=09
    Axios Exclusive 2: https://www.axios.com/2025/01/18/biden-sullivan-ai-race-trump-china
    Deepseek R1 Numbers: https://x.com/deepseek_ai/status/1881318130334814301
    Does 1.5B outperform 3.5 Sonnet on Math?: https://x.com/reach_vb/status/1881319500089634954
    Deepseek R1 (deepseek-reasoner) Pricing: https://api-docs.deepseek.com/quick_start/pricing/
    Altman Fast Takeoff: https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1879100390840697191
    OpenAI Economic Blueprint: https://cdn.openai.com/global-affairs/ai-in-america-oai-economic-blueprint-20250113.pdf
    Target is Long-horizon Tasks: https://x.com/karinanguyen_/status/1879576037249667520
    Support Regulations: https://www.techemails.com/p/elon-musk-and-openai
    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/16/technology/openai-altman-artificial-intelligence-regulation.html
    Donation: https://qz.com/sam-altman-donate-million-zuckerberg-bezos-donald-trump-1851721035
    Amodei on Regulations by 2025: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ugvHCXCOmm4
    ‘Feel the AGI’: https://x.com/polynoamial?lang=en
    GPT-5 and o-series merger: https://x.com/sama/status/1880358749187240274
    o1 Thinks in Chinese: https://techcrunch.com/2025/01/14/openais-ai-reasoning-model-thinks-in-chinese-sometimes-and-no-one-really-knows-why/



    Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

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