Bettor Thinking

Auteur(s): John Alesia
  • Résumé

  • Bettor Thinking isn’t just another sports betting podcast—it’s your masterclass in decision-making excellence. Join host John ”Statsational” Alesia as he explores the fascinating intersection of sports betting, behavioral psychology, and analytical thinking through conversations with an elite roster of guests including Wall Street quants, professional bettors, behavioral economists, and industry innovators. Each episode delivers actionable insights that go beyond basic betting advice, diving deep into the mental models, analytical frameworks, and decision-making processes that separate successful bettors from the crowd. Whether you’re a seasoned sharp or new to sports betting, you’ll learn how to think better to bet smarter. Powered by the Sharp App, Bettor Thinking brings you the tools, strategies, and wisdom needed to make more informed betting decisions. From understanding cognitive biases to mastering probability concepts, this is where sharp minds meet sharp lines.
    Copyright 2024 All rights reserved.
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Épisodes
  • AI Will Change Trading And Sports Betting Forever! - Adam Robinson Ep 007
    Jan 28 2025

    Princeton Review co-founder and global macro advisor Adam Robinson delivers a fascinating warning about the future of trading and investing. Drawing from his unique background as a chess master, test prep innovator, and macro investor, Robinson explains why artificial intelligence will fundamentally reshape markets within the next 5-10 years.

    In this compelling episode, we explore:

    • Why copying Warren Buffett's success is psychologically impossible • How AI mastered chess in 4 hours and what it means for trading • The population collapse nobody's talking about • Why most trading psychology advice is dangerously wrong • The future of sports betting in an AI-dominated world • How successful traders really think about risk

    From an unexpected technical difficulty that turns into a lesson about preparation, to profound insights about market psychology, this conversation challenges conventional wisdom about trading, investing, and decision-making under uncertainty.

    Whether you're an active trader, sports bettor, or simply interested in making better decisions, Robinson's counter-intuitive perspectives will change how you think about edge-finding and risk management in an AI-driven future.

    🎯 Download the Sharp App and use code THINKING35 for 35% off 💬 Join our Discord community for daily insights 🎧 New episodes every week

    #BettorThinking #TradingPsychology #BehavioralEconomics #RiskManagement

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    1 h et 23 min
  • Health Economists Secrets To Building Winning Sports Betting Models - Seth BTB Analytics Ep 006
    Jan 16 2025

    In this eye-opening episode of Bettor Thinking, we sit down with Seth from BTB Analytics, who transformed his background in pharmacy and health economics into a remarkable career beating the NFL betting markets. With a proven 55% win rate over two years, Seth breaks down how he approaches sports betting through a unique analytical lens.

    Key highlights from this episode: • Why traditional NFL stats might be leading you astray • The surprising truth about market timing and why Monday bettors have an edge • How Seth's pharmaceutical background influenced his betting model development • The real reason most sports bettors fail (it's not what you think)

    Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just starting out, this episode delivers actionable insights that will transform your approach to sports betting. Seth shares his journey from analyzing drug trials to developing winning NFL betting models, proving that success in sports betting isn't about insider knowledge—it's about superior analysis.

    🎯 Special Offer for Listeners: Download Sharp.app and use code THINKING35 for 35% off your subscription. Join our community of analytical bettors making smarter decisions.

    📊 Access Seth's Data and Analysis: Visit BTB Analytics at https://www.btb-analytics.com/fantasy-football-data

    Bettor Thinking - Where betting meets behavioral science. New episodes every week exploring the intersection of psychology, risk-taking, and sports betting.

    #SportsBetting #NFLBetting #BettingAnalytics #DataScience #BettorThinking

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    1 h et 10 min
  • Why 'Never Hedge' Is Costing You Money | Expected Growth vs Expected Value- Dan Abrams Ep 005
    Jan 9 2025

    In this episode of Bettor Thinking, Dan Abrams (author of "But How Much Did You Lose?") challenges conventional sports betting wisdom with mathematical proof that will change how you think about bankroll management.

    Dan explains why the common "never hedge" mentality is fundamentally flawed and demonstrates how negative EV hedges can actually maximize your bankroll's expected growth. Through clear examples and mathematical analysis, he breaks down:

    • Why Expected Growth (EG) can be more important than Expected Value (EV) • The mathematics behind optimal position sizing • How the Kelly Criterion really works (and why most bettors misuse it) • Why most "flat bettors" aren't really flat betting • The truth about win rate ceilings for professional bettors • When negative EV hedges are the sharp play

    This isn't your typical betting podcast with hot picks and empty promises. Instead, Dan provides advanced bankroll management strategies that separate the pros from the amateurs.

    Whether you're betting hundreds or hundreds of thousands, this episode will fundamentally change how you approach position sizing and hedging opportunities.

    Tags: Sports Betting, Gambling, Bankroll Management, Kelly Criterion, Sports Trading, Risk Management, Expected Value, Hedging Strategy

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    1 h et 5 min

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