Interview with
Andrew Penkethman, MD & CEO of Ardea Resources Ltd.
Mark Selby, CEO of Canada Nickel

Recording date: 2nd February 2026

The global nickel market is undergoing a fundamental transformation that is creating investment opportunities in Western-controlled supply chains. Andrew Penkethman, CEO of Ardea Resources, and Mark Selby, CEO of Canada Nickel, recently discussed how their large-scale projects in Australia and Canada are positioned to capitalise on this shift.

After two challenging years dominated by Indonesian supply flooding global markets, the landscape is changing. Since December 2025, nickel prices have risen approximately $4,500 per ton as Indonesia transitions from overwhelming production to active supply management. Selby characterises Indonesia as "an OPEC of one country," now implementing quota controls rather than unrestricted output. Price increases across the entire supply chain—from ore to nickel pig iron to stainless steel—indicate genuine market tightness rather than temporary speculation.

Both executives emphasise a critical distinction between their new development projects and the aging operations that closed in 2024. Legacy assets from BHP and First Quantum represent 30-year-old mines with declining grades, increasing costs, and years of underinvestment. In contrast, Ardea's Goongarrie Hub and Canada Nickel's Crawford project offer fresh economics with 30-50+ year mine lives, substantial resources, and modern processing capabilities that position them favourably on the cost curve.

Strategic validation has arrived through significant partnerships. Ardea secured $98.5 million in definitive feasibility study funding from Sumitomo Metal Mining and Mitsubishi Corporation, whilst Canada Nickel attracted Anglo American, Agnico Eagle, and Samsung SDI as investors. These experienced institutions seek long-term supply arrangements spanning decades, not speculative positions.

Government support is accelerating development timelines. Both projects have received major project status enabling streamlined permitting and access to sovereign wealth fund financing. Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney personally promotes the Crawford project to Middle Eastern investors, whilst Australia develops an "investor front door" program for critical minerals projects.

The investment thesis extends beyond electric vehicles into broader critical minerals security. Chinese interests control approximately 80% of refined nickel supply, creating strategic vulnerabilities that Western governments address through supply chain diversification initiatives. With defence spending increasing globally and only a handful of quality nickel projects advancing worldwide, both companies expect construction decisions in 2026-2027.

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Interview with Mark Chalmers, CEO, Energy Fuels

Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/energy-fuels-nyseuuuu-americas-critical-minerals-champion-2025s-best-uranium-stock-returns-8965

Recording date: 29th January 2026

Energy Fuels, a leading U.S. uranium and critical minerals producer, has announced a definitive agreement to acquire Australian Strategic Materials (ASM) through a scheme of arrangement valued at under 6% of its share registry. The transaction represents a significant milestone in Energy Fuels' strategy to build vertical integration across the rare earth supply chain, adding metals and alloys production capabilities to complement its existing separation operations at the White Mesa mill in Utah.

ASM brings immediate production capability through its South Korean facility, which currently produces approximately 1,300 tons per annum of neodymium-iron-boron alloy—a critical material for permanent magnets used in electric vehicles and clean energy applications. The facility is already expanding to 3,600 tons per annum in Phase 2, with plans for Phase 3 expansion to 5,600 tons. Additionally, ASM had been developing plans for a U.S. facility with phased development up to 4,000 tons per annum, providing Energy Fuels with domestic production capabilities that align with government initiatives to reduce dependence on Chinese rare earth supply chains.

The acquisition also includes the Dubbo project in New South Wales, Australia—a permitted rare earth development that adds another feed source to Energy Fuels' growing portfolio. The project is being re-evaluated using a heap leach processing approach that significantly reduces capital requirements by producing an intermediate concentrate for shipment to White Mesa mill rather than building full on-site separation facilities.

CEO Mark Chalmers emphasized that vertical integration addresses a fundamental challenge in the rare earth industry: fragmentation. By controlling multiple steps from separation through alloys production, Energy Fuels expects to improve margins by up to 20% while positioning itself as a strategic partner for government programs and commercial customers seeking integrated solutions. The transaction is expected to close by the end of June 2026, following shareholder votes and court approvals under Australian law.

Learn more: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/energy-fuels

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Recording date: 2nd February 2026

Olive Resource Capital executives Derek Macpherson and Samuel Pelaez recorded their latest market commentary during a pivotal moment in late January 2026, as precious metals experienced both historic gains and a subsequent correction. Gold surpassed $5,100 while silver exceeded $120 before both metals pulled back, yet still positioned to deliver potentially the best monthly performance on record following 2025's exceptional year.

The correction, while notable, was characterised by the executives as a healthy consolidation rather than a reversal of underlying trends. Pelaez emphasised that fundamental drivers supporting precious metals remained intact, including expanding global liquidity at all-time highs and persistent supply constraints. Technical indicators showed overbought conditions with relative strength indices in the 90s range, but the executives noted such conditions can persist for extended periods without signaling imminent reversals.

Macpherson's attendance at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference revealed dramatic shifts in market participation. Conference attendance exceeded levels seen in the previous decade, with one small-cap exploration company reporting over 150 investor booth visits. This contrasted sharply with recent years when sparse attendance left companies pitching to neighbouring exhibitors rather than actual investors.

Capital markets activity reflected this heightened interest, with private placements routinely exceeding $20-25 million. Institutional investors who participated in mid-2025 financings returned with substantially larger commitments in January 2026, reflecting strong portfolio performance and capital rotation into the mining sector.

Despite the rally in metal prices, Pelaez argued that mining equities, particularly developers and explorers, have not yet reflected $5,000 gold in their valuations. Upcoming first-quarter earnings should demonstrate significant margin expansion, as producers benefit from $700 quarterly increases in realised gold prices flowing directly to bottom lines.

The executives maintained that mining equities retain appreciation potential even if commodity prices stabilise at current levels, presenting ongoing opportunities for investors willing to navigate near-term volatility while maintaining conviction in the sector's long-term trajectory.

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