Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Monday, February 3, 2025. This is Nelson John, let's get started. US President Donald Trump has implemented tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, citing a national emergency related to drug trafficking. Starting February 4, imports from Canada and Mexico will face a 25% tariff, except for Canadian oil which will see a 10% duty. Chinese imports will incur an additional 10% tariff. These tariffs are expected to increase prices in the US, potentially driving up inflation and slowing economic growth globally. In response, Canada has already slapped a 25% tariff on US imports worth Canadian $155 billion. Mexico and China have also promised retaliatory measures. The move has sparked concerns of a potential trade war, with Trump suggesting he might extend tariffs to other countries, including India. This could fundamentally alter global trade dynamics. Read N Madhavan’s primer on Trump’s latest decision to impose the tariffs and how it could affect India. Naveen Jindal, chairman of Jindal Steel and Power Ltd, is expanding his steel empire globally, setting up a network of mines and steel plants across Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. He's a contender to acquire Italy's largest steel plant, Acciaierie d’Italia, potentially adding significant capacity to his operations. His privately-owned ventures, distinct from the publicly-listed JSPL, could match the scale of his Indian operations by 2028. Jindal's strategy includes developing end-to-end operations from mining in Mozambique and Cameroon to steel production in Oman and processing in the Czech Republic. This expansion has raised corporate governance concerns regarding potential conflicts of interest with JSPL. However, Jindal has taken steps to mitigate these concerns, such as resigning from an executive role and ensuring his private companies do not transact with JSPL, Nehal Chaliawala writes. Critics still question why these expansions are not under JSPL’s umbrella, suggesting that it could protect the listed company from potential risks associated with international ventures.Foreign portfolio investors were notably absent from India's markets during the special budget session, setting the stage for what analysts anticipate could be a negative reaction in the markets. This comes amid concerns about a global trade war and ahead of a critical monetary policy announcement. Analysts Ram Sahgal spoke to, suggest that the government's focus on boosting consumption over capital expenditure and fears of an expanding global trade war might have spurred FPIs to adopt a cautious approach. FPIs have been net sellers in the Indian cash market since October, offloading shares worth ₹2.38 trillion through the end of January. They have also increased their bearish bets by shorting index futures and selling index call options—moves that reflect a heightened sense of caution and concern over India's corporate profitability and economic growth prospects amid global uncertainties. On the eve of the budget, FPIs significantly increased their short positions in Nifty and Bank Nifty call options, indicating a strong bearish stance. Recruiters are sceptical about the Union budget's plan to reduce migration by boosting job opportunities in rural areas and tier-II and -III cities. Devina Sengupta spoke to recruiters who argue that unless there's significant development in these areas, the pull towards India's 30 biggest cities will continue due to better employment opportunities and higher wages. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman emphasized in her budget speech that the aim is to create enough jobs in rural areas to make migration unnecessary. However, recruiters like Aditya Narayan Mishra of CIEL HR Services point out that economic growth remains uneven across the country, with specific industries concentrated in certain states like Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka. This makes migration inevitable as job seekers move towards these hubs for better prospects. While the government plans to develop Global Capability Centres in smaller cities to ease the strain on major urban areas, recruiters call for more concrete plans on how these and other job creation initiatives will be implemented. Robust personal income tax revenue, showing strong buoyancy, facilitated substantial tax relief in the FY26 budget, Finance Secretary Tuhin Kanta Pandey highlighted. In a post-budget interview with Rhik Kundu and Gireesh Chandra Prasad, he explained that this would help counterbalance the effects of the recent tax cuts. The government is also pushing for mandatory deregulation reforms. These are required for states to access part of the Centre's 50-year interest-free loans for capital expenditure. Additionally, the 16th Finance Commission, led by Arvind Panagariya, is set to guide state governments on reducing their debt, aiming to ...
