Edition No61 | 15-11-2024 - This episode focuses on opportunities for the Trump administration to win in Ukraine. It does not mean he will adopt them or be minded to embrace similar measures. Only the choices he makes, and discernible actions he takes when his administration assumes power, will tell the truth about what’s in his mind. His choices may also be guided by events, rather than any premeditated strategy. That means we need to be agile, and ready to inject ideas and opportunities into policy, as there may be a deficit of them within the administration. Especially if Putin turns on Trump, or vice versa. ~~~~~ CHAPTERS: 00:00:00 Ten ways to screw up Russia 00:09:25 One - Response to escalation 00:15:00 Two - Indifference to Biden's red lines 00:19:52 Three - Drill to deflate oil prices 00:22:05 Four - Divide China from Russia 00:26:05 Five - Demand peace, with ultimatums 00:27:51 Six - Enforce component sanctions on adversaries and allies 00:30:18 Seven - Deter and degrade Russia's proxies and partners 00:31:51 Eight - Destroy NATO's credibility 00:36:13 Nine - Provocations escalate 00:40:26 Ten - Russian hubris triggers Trump 00:44:51 Summary ~~~~~ SILICON CURTAIN FILM FUNDRAISER A project to make a documentary film in Ukraine, to raise awareness of Ukraine's struggle and in supporting a team running aid convoys to Ukraine's frontline towns. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras ~~~~~ But a hallmark of his tenure in the Oval office is likely to be uncertainty and surprise. Of course, this is the opposite of the crushingly predictable, obvious, and cautious actions of Biden, guided by the Sullivan Doctrine. Soft appeasement and self-deterring de-escalation have given way to uncertainty. This episode is intended to be a catalyst of ideas, and to stimulate the pro-Ukraine community to seek opportunity, not despair. Whether consciously or accidentally, here are ten ways that Trump could screw Russia. Those who voted for Trump see an opportunity, those who opposed him see only drs closing, and incipient authoritarianism and chaos. Russian propaganda is expert at driving this edge wider and making it more toxic. It’s incumbent on us to find ways to close the gap in perception, and counter propagandistic narratives. Trump made his core campaign slogan – close to commitment – to stop the wars. - War does not stop. Wars will not stop. The move towards rules-based global competitor has turned to scrabbling rivalry, increasingly fractious and lawless. We call it the international order – others just see the biggest gang on the street. We’ve not seen that it’s gone, while countries in the periphery of it will likely not mourn its passing, because in the short-term it’s in their financial interests. The long-term stability of international order probably always seemed contingent for them on the maintenance on Western military hegemony. That’s passing too. ---------- SUPPORT THE CHANNEL: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain https://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain ---------- TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND: Save Ukraine https://www.saveukraineua.org/ Superhumans - Hospital for war traumas https://superhumans.com/en/ UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukraine https://unbroken.org.ua/ Come Back Alive https://savelife.in.ua/en/ Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchen https://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraine UNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyy https://u24.gov.ua/ Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundation https://prytulafoundation.org NGO “Herojam Slava” https://heroiamslava.org/ kharpp - Reconstruction project supporting communities in Kharkiv and Przemyśl https://kharpp.com/ NOR DOG Animal Rescue https://www.nor-dog.org/home/ ----------