In this special bonus episode of Sparta Market Outlook Podcast, host @Rachel welcomes guest @Julien Mathonnière, Oil Market Economist at @Energy Intelligence, along with Sparta’s @Neil and @Phil, to discuss key macroeconomic indicators, the energy transition, and long-term oil demand trends through 2025 and beyond. Topics include the peaking of diesel demand, China’s rapid transition (e.g., LNG trucks, EV adoption), and India’s growing demand amid policy and sanction risks.

(03:00) Fundamentals of Tracking Oil Demand (05:00) IEA vs. OPEC: Polarised Demand Forecasts (08:51) Discrepancies Between IEA and OPEC (11:50) Demand Forecasting (16:25) Short-Term vs. Long-Term Demand Forecasts (24:30) State of the Gasoil Market (27:55) Regional Focus: India, China & Unexpected Trends (31:30) China (35:00) The Role of Renewables & EVs (40:55) Wrap-Up & Key Takeaways

In this episode of the Sparta Market Outlook Podcast, host Rachel Williams, joined by analysts Neil and Phil, analyse natural gas prices, cold weather and the potential impact of geopolitical events, such as Trump-Putin talks. We delve into strong refinery margins, healthy gasoil cracks, seemingly very tight residue markets, a glut in light crude in the Atlantic Basin. We set out our trades for the physical market going forward.

The latest episode of the Sparta Market Outlook podcast the team looks at the impact of U.S. trade policies and geopolitical tensions. The team discuss the recent tariff developments involving China, Canada, and Mexico, emphasising their limited immediate effect on crude flows but highlighting potential long-term disruptions, particularly with the EU.

They also analyse the evolving crude market, noting shifts in price spreads and arbitrage opportunities, particularly between WTI, Brent, and Dubai. Discussions extend to refined products, where European gas oil is identified as potentially overvalued, and gasoline markets show volatility due to changing trade flows and high shipping costs. The episode concludes with insights into weather patterns affecting fuel demand and refining margins, reinforcing the theme of market uncertainty in an era of geopolitical shifts.

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This episode of the Sparta Market Outlook Podcast features host Felipe Elink Schuurman and analysts Jorge, James, Michael, and Neil, exploring the effects of recent OFAC sanctions on Russian oil, geopolitical influences like potential Trump policies. They discuss crude oil spreads, the possible reopening of the Suez route, and regional product market trends, including the impact of the Dangote refinery on Nigerian imports. Stay tuned for insights on how these factors are shaping the oil market.

In this episode of the Sparta Market Outlook Podcast, Rachel Williams is joined by analysts Phil and John, along with first-time guest Hoa, to discuss key developments in the oil market for early 2025. Hoa brings extensive experience, having led fuel oil analysis at Trafigura and worked across crude, diesel, and APAC power markets. With a background in global fixed income trading and equity research, Hoa now leads the development of Sparta’s forward-looking tools for fuel oil and feedstocks. The panel examines the impact of Russian sanctions, Middle Eastern supply dynamics, U.S. crude inventory pressures, and how Chinese tax changes are disrupting refining margins and global fuel oil pricing.