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In this episode, we break down five key charts that explain why home prices are unlikely to fall and may continue rising. These insights go beyond surface-level assumptions and explore the real forces at play in today's housing market.

📌 Key Points Covered:

• Home prices are on a consistent upward trajectory and are likely to stay that way.
• The idea that homes are becoming unaffordable doesn’t mean values are unsustainable.
• Even during the 2005–2007 housing crash, most homeowners kept their homes—the real issue was risky loan structures.
• Fixed-rate mortgages offer long-term affordability, unlike adjustable or interest-only loans that triggered past crashes.

📊 Chart 1: Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) of Stocks

• P/E ratios shifted permanently above 20 since 2016, showing market willingness to value assets higher.
• Increased transparency and retail investor activity changed how assets like stocks are valued.
• Real estate may follow similar trends—value isn’t always tied strictly to underlying income or material costs.

📉 Chart 2: Historical Mortgage Rates

• Contrary to popular belief, higher mortgage rates won’t crash the market—they’ll reduce inventory.
• Most homeowners have locked in low interest rates (2–3%) over the past decade.
• Higher current rates (5–7%) discourage people from selling, reducing resale inventory.
• This supply lockup supports high home prices despite rising interest rates.

🪵 Chart 3: Lumber Prices

• Lumber prices influence the cost of new homes, which in turn affects resale home prices.
• Historically, lumber traded in the $200–$500 range. Since 2020, the new range is $500–$1500.
• Industry changes, labor costs, and inflation support this higher price band.
• Builders now factor in high lumber costs into pricing, indirectly raising home values across the board.

🏠 Chart 4: Median Home Prices Over Time

• Despite short-term spikes, long-term home price trends show a steady, linear rise.
• The 2008 housing crash was an anomaly caused by financial system failures—not buyer demand.
• If plotted without the crash dip, the appreciation trend from 1991 to now is smooth and consistent.
• Recent “spikes” are simply a market correction catching up to historical growth patterns.

🏡 Final Thoughts

• Multiple indicators—mortgage behavior, materials costs, investor psychology, and historical trends—show that today’s home prices are not inflated in the way past bubbles were.
• These charts collectively support the case for a “new normal” in real estate valuation.
• Homeowners with low interest rates are unlikely to sell, which will keep inventory low and prices high.

In today’s tight real estate market, there is a smart way for buyers to find hidden gems — even when bidding wars are happening on similar houses. This episode reveals how to locate overlooked homes, called "leftover properties", and what makes them such great opportunities.

What You'll Learn in This Episode:

• ✅ What “leftover properties” are — and why they’re often hidden in plain sight
• 🏠 Real examples of properties incorrectly labeled “off-grid” but still fully connected to utilities
• 💡 Why a simple listing error (like an old carpet or incorrect description) can scare off other buyers
• 🛠️ The power of visual inspections and what a general contractor can help uncover — even when inspections are waived
• 🏘️ Common listing errors you should watch for:
  • Wrong number of bedrooms or bathrooms
  • Mistyped square footage (e.g., 140 instead of 1400)
  • Incorrect property type (e.g., single-family listed as condo or multifamily)
• 🔍 How to remove filters in your MLS or Zillow search to spot hidden opportunities
• 📱 Using apps like LandGlide to uncover property records, owner info, and extra lot data
• 🧰 How to conduct an "informal" inspection during a second showing — even if formal inspections are waived
• 📷 Tips for dealing with misuploaded photos and listings that don’t reflect the true condition or layout of a home
• 🏗️ How to look beyond what’s “wrong” and see what can be done with a house (like converting a screen porch to a den)
• 💬 Why most buyers miss out due to poor imagination or reliance on filters — and how to beat them to great deals

🔑 Key Takeaway:
Stop filtering out listings. Start looking for errors, poor marketing, or small cosmetic issues that others see as deal-breakers. That's where the hidden value lives.

Ready to uncover your dream home others have overlooked? This episode shows you how.