Ontario’s Greenbelt is often treated as untouchable — but is it actually making the housing crisis worse?In this episode of The Missing Middle, Mike Moffatt and Sabrina Maddeaux tackle the question viewers keep asking: can Ontario build enough family-friendly homes without touching the Greenbelt — and what happens if it doesn’t? They unpack how the Greenbelt was sold as a social contract, why governments never delivered the missing middle housing they promised, and how policies meant to stop sprawl may have actually pushed families farther away.

The conversation breaks down four realistic paths forward: doing nothing, finally legalizing family-sized infill housing, cutting immigration to ease demand, or partially opening the Greenbelt — and why every option is politically fraught. Along the way, they explain leapfrog sprawl, why condos aren’t working for families, and how decades of policy avoidance have left young Canadians priced out and disillusioned.

If you care about housing affordability, family-friendly neighborhoods, or the future of Ontario’s cities, this episode lays out the uncomfortable trade-offs politicians keep avoiding.

Chapters:

00:00 – Introduction

00:47 – The Most Common Audience Question

01:50 – Is the Greenbelt Politically Untouchable Now?

05:23 – The Greenbelt’s Broken Social Contract

10:05 – What Families Actually Need in a Home

11:35 – How the Greenbelt Makes Sprawl Worse

14:00 – Has Anyone Studied Greenbelt Sprawl?

15:00 – Four Options for Housing vs the Greenbelt

15:53 - Option 1: Do Nothing

18:31 – Option 2: Fix Housing Without Expansion

23:48 – Option 3: Cutting Immigration

27:15 – Option 4: Opening the Greenbelt

29:55 – What’s Most Likely to Happen Next?

Research/links:

Mike’s tweet

https://x.com/MikePMoffatt/status/1991593178085142851?s=20

London’s Garden Belt:

https://x.com/JenMTreadwell/status/2001256081188905271?s=20

The Welfare Effects of Greenbelt Policy: Evidence from England

https://academic.oup.com/ej/article/134/657/363/7276598

Green Belts: Past; present; future?

https://www.routledge.com/Green-Belts-Past-present-future/Sturzaker-Mell/p/book/9781138339392

Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux

Produced by Meredith Martin

This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.

In this special Ask Me Anything episode of The Missing Middle, the full team answers your biggest viewer questions on housing, transit, immigration, and affordability — and we share a major announcement about the future of the podcast. We also introduce our newest team member and talk candidly about why this work hits close to home for so many Canadians.

The conversation dives into walkable neighbourhoods and small businesses, why governments struggle to act on housing affordability, the taboo around discussing immigration and housing together, transit as a pressure valve for urban sprawl, and why seniors are stuck in family-sized homes. Plus, we explain what’s changing on the show, including two new weekly episodes, DemograFix and Classonomics, and what it means for listeners going forward.

Chapters

00:00 Ask Me Anything 2025 and look ahead

00:45 Meet our editor/technical producer Sean Foreman

03:01 Introducing the new podcast DemograFix

03:52 Introducing Classonomics

04:16 You don’t need to do anything, we promise 🙂

05:01 Meredith’s take on the future of Missing Middle podcasts

07:29 Question from Matthieu Gagnon about walkability

09:56 Rahim Ismail’s Question about the government being out of touch

12:34 Examining the intentionality of the government's lack of response

15:36 Chosing one stakeholder over another

16:46 Vanessa MacDonald’s question about talking about immigration policy

20:49 Daniel D'Angela’s question about good transit

22:57 Seniors downsizing and banning all foreign ownership

Research/links:

Can Tax Reform Help Young People Afford Homes?

https://youtu.be/rW9QZ91lF9k?si=lep3WbEYfmZATaUQ

2025 Provincial HOMES Report Card

https://www.missingmiddleinitiative.ca/p/2025-provincial-homes-report-card

The Positive Utility of the Commute: Modeling Ideal Commute Time and Relative Desired Commute Amount

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/263313349_The_Positive_Utility_of_the_Commute_Modeling_Ideal_Commute_Time_and_Relative_Desired_Commute_Amount

Measuring the Local Economic Impacts of Replacing On-Street Parking With Bike Lanes

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01944363.2019.1638816

Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux

Produced by Meredith Martin

This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.

Is Canada’s life sciences and health tech sector heading toward a code red? In this episode, Sabrina Maddeaux and Mike Moffatt unpack how outdated and fragmented privacy laws are slowing innovation, and why aligning too closely with European regulations could make things even worse. They explore the “Brussels effect,” where the EU’s regulatory power shapes rules far beyond Europe, and how Canada may already be feeling its impact.

The conversation dives into why modern health innovation depends on large-scale data, how Canada’s patchwork of federal and provincial rules creates costly barriers, and what lessons we could learn from countries like Japan and Singapore instead.

Chapters:

00:00 Introduction

00:44 The Brussels Effect explained

03:17 Outdated health-data and privacy rules

04:13 Accessing lifescience data

06:00 Safety vs innovation

07:40 Europe lacks tech innovation

08:55 We’re already adopting EU rules

09:28 Asia leads the way in healthtech data regulation

Research:

Health Innovation Doesn’t Have to Be This Hard

https://www.missingmiddleinitiative.ca/p/health-innovation-doesnt-have-to?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

The Draghi report on EU competitiveness

https://commission.europa.eu/topics/competitiveness/draghi-report_en

Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux

Produced by Meredith Martin

This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.