• Thinking Smart About Low-Probability Events

  • Feb 27 2025
  • Durée: 43 min
  • Podcast

Thinking Smart About Low-Probability Events

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  • Résumé

  • This week, Nate and Maria discuss the asteroid that had a 3% chance of colliding with Earth. That risk is now closer to 0%—but, what does this example reveal about how to consider extremely costly events that are fairly unlikely to come to pass?

    Then, they touch on the latest World Series of Poker drama and challenge each other to a game of Roshambo.

    For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

    The Leap from Maria Konnikova

    Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

    See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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