Business Cycle Economics

From Brian and Alan Beaulieu - the CEO and president of ITR Economics (ITR) - comes Prosperity in the Age of Decline, the must-have resource for thriving in uncertain economic times. ITR has mastered long-term economic trend forecasting, with an astounding 94.7 percent accuracy rate over the course of six and a half decades.

For decades, politicians, policymakers, and investors have debated these questions, but the Big Debt Cycle that helps answer them is not talked about or well understood. With the US debt issue coming to a head, Dalio’s How Countries Go Broke provides the first-ever detailed analysis of the Big Debt Cycle, explaining its implications and offering a surprisingly straightforward solution to getting debt problems like the ones the US faces under control.

What is the arrogance cycle? We've just lived through it. As market bubbles build, our confidence level rises (dis)proportionately. Everyone wants in on the action. We want to believe Wall Street, and once we do, the inevitable happens. Like Dr. Frankenstein breathing life into inanimate flesh, investment professionals sought ever more novel ways to create wealth. The only problem was that it was all artificial.