Business Forecasting

What enables great corporate leaders to detect signals that their industry, or perhaps the entire world, is about to change? How are they able to place their companies in a position to capitalize on that change? And how can you become one of those extraordinary people? It boils down to one word - vision. Leaders who lacked it have often guided their companies to obsolescence and failure. The rare leaders who cultivated a strong vision have disrupted industries, created new ones, and remade the world.

We are living in a world in which cows send texts to farmers when they're in heat, where the most valuable real estate in New York City houses computers, not people, and some of humanity's greatest works are created by crowds, not individuals. We are in the midst of a networking revolution - set to transform the way we access the world's information and the way we connect with one another. Studying biological systems is perhaps the best way to understand such networks, and nature has a lesson for us if we care to listen: Bigger is rarely better in the long run.

Companies emerge from smart people with clever ideas. However, vision alone is not enough, as only one out of three companies lasts 10 years. It takes a systematic approach to make a company sustainably successful. In Your Company Is Your Castle, Sandeep Chennakeshu, a business transformation veteran, compares building a company to that of a medieval castle that has withstood the test of time, having weathered nature's elements and hordes of invaders.

仕事ができる人は、みな「数学的」だった！生産性・評価・信頼、すべてが爆上がり！

Imagine an everyday world in which the price of gasoline (and oil) continues to go up, and up, and up. Think about the immediate impact that would have on our lives. Of course, everybody already knows how about gasoline has affected our driving habits. People can't wait to junk their gas-guzzling SUVs for a new Prius. But there are more, not-so-obvious changes on the horizon that Chris Steiner tracks brilliantly in this provocative work.

The future is big right now - for perhaps the first time, our society is more focused on what is going to happen in the future than what is happening right now. In Trees on Mars: Our Obsession with the Future, cultural critic and indie entrepreneur Hal Niedzviecki asks how and when we started believing we could and should "create the future." What is it like to live in a society utterly focused on what is going to happen next?

The future is not what it used to be. In this volatile era, with the world changing rapidly, people are more curious than ever to know what lies ahead. Will relentless consumerism end up destroying our planet? Or can science and technology allow us to innovate our way out of trouble? Perhaps a greater social consciousness and community-based living will take over or, conversely, the competition for limited resources may result in everyone fighting for themselves.

Are you ready to transform your small business into an unstoppable empire? Dive into "Scaling Your Business: Strategies for Building, Scaling up, and Sustaining Your Small Business Empire Beyond Entrepreneurship", a compelling guide crafted for ambitious entrepreneurs like you who are determined to break through the glass ceiling and achieve extraordinary growth.

How do Michelin-ranked food stalls in Singapore and the decline of Swiss watches force all luxury brands to rethink their business models? What insights can the world's quietest place and a clothing dye produced by former tobacco farmers reveal about serving enlightened consumers? The answers to these questions may not be all that obvious. And that's exactly the point. For the past eight years, marketing expert and Georgetown University Professor Rohit Bhargava has curated his best-selling list of non-obvious trends.

Ein Zweck macht noch keinen Unternehmenserfolg. Seit Simon Sineks TED-Talk treibt das Thema Purpose kuriose Blüten. Der Unternehmenszweck wird vielfach zur Basis aller Strategien, Ziele, Maßnahmen und KPIs erklärt. Für Franz-Rudolf Esch greift das zu kurz. Kein Unternehmen ist nur durch seinen Zweck dauerhaft erfolgreich. Es bedarf weiterer Zutaten, wie klarer Unternehmensgrundsätze, einer ambitionierten Vision und einer starken Marke. Diese fasst Esch im Haltungs- und Visionshaus zusammen, einem Tool, das auf ein DIN-A3-Blatt passt.

Accettate il consiglio. Lavorate di più e con maggiore attenzione. Pensate al futuro dei figli. Se siete giovani, sbrigatevi a emigrare. Leggete molto, soprattutto la stampa straniera. Se non sapete l'inglese imparate almeno a leggerlo. Evitate di seguire assiduamente la politica italiana, ma non perdete mai di vista ciò che succede vicino a voi. Osservate il mondo, interessatevi a tutto ciò che è nuovo, a livello di costume, consumi, prodotti e servizi. Non guardate la Tv.

The challenge to be a "future-fit" leader is as unrelenting as it is difficult. Leading in a Changing World is about the current and future challenges that leaders face. It explores the type of thinking, behaviour, and habits that leaders will need in order to successfully navigate the unfolding future. This completely updated and revised edition for the 2020s adds new insights gained from the work the authors have done with many leaders since they first published this book. It’s more practical, and picks up key issues that leaders are dealing with.

Gods of the Valley downs the businesses and big problems with Google, Amazon, Facebook, and Apple, examining upcoming market trends and potential disruptions that impact today’s tech giants and rating the businesses accordingly.

For years, marketers have held on to unwavering beliefs that have dictated how they market to their consumers. But the hard truth is that the changes we see in marketing and business are based on one undeniable factor - the size of the generations we are selling to. As each generation ages, what they buy and how much they buy will change.

Was sind heute die großen Ideen? Historischer Fortschritt basierte fast immer auf utopischen Ideen: Noch vor 100 Jahren hätte niemand für möglich gehalten, dass die Sklaverei abgeschafft oder die Demokratie wirklich existieren würde. Doch wie begegnen wir den Herausforderungen der modernen Arbeitswelt, des Familienlebens, des gesamten globalen Gefüges? Der niederländische Vordenker Rutger Bregman sagt: "Das wahre Problem unserer Zeit ist nicht, dass es uns nicht gut ginge oder dass es uns in Zukunft schlechter gehen könnte.

In modern history, the story of capitalism has been a story of firms and financiers. That's all going to change thanks to the Big Data revolution. As Viktor Mayer-Schönberger, best-selling author of Big Data, and Thomas Ramge, who writes for The Economist, show, data is replacing money as the driver of market behavior. Big finance and big companies will be replaced by small groups and individual actors who make markets instead of making things: think Uber instead of Ford, or Airbnb instead of Hyatt. Will this be an age of prosperity or of calamity?

The tumultuous changes of the past decade, including China's economic rise and the financial meltdown, were just the beginning. The next cataclysmic wave is surging relentlessly ahead, demanding leaders who can steer their companies through complexity and change. Leadership 2030 uncovers six megatrends that will dramatically impact organizations' markets, cultures, systems, and processes.

How bad will the current economy get? According to Eric Janszen, we could be facing an unemployment rate of over 10 percent; half of all retail stores boarded up; skeletons of unfinished buildings in our cities; and tax revenues down by 30 percent, leading to big cuts in government services. Sounds grim, but the good news is that this crisis will open the door to a saner economic future if we recognize the opportunity to correct decades of bad policy.

As individuals, companies, and countries struggle to recover from the economic crisis, many are narrowly focused on forecasts for the next week, month, or quarter. Yet they should be asking what the global economy will look like in the years to come—where will the long-term risks and opportunities arise? These are the questions that Daniel Altman confronts in his provocative and indispensable book.

How do we stay safe? Should we? What if our attempts are exposing us even more to the very risks we are avoiding? Would acceptance of danger make us more secure? Is there such a thing as foolproof? In Foolproof, Greg Ip presents a macro theory of human nature and disaster that explains how we can keep ourselves safe in our increasingly dangerous world.