Business Forecasting

In Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits, and Profits in the Commodity Casino, Peter Sainsbury, economist, commodity investor and blogger at Materials Risk, shows how you can take back control.

For over 15 years, New York Times best-selling author Harry S. Dent, Jr. has been uncannily accurate in predicting the financial future. In his three previous works, Dent predicted the financial recession of the early 90s, the economic expansion of the mid-90s, and the financial free-for-all of 1998-2000.

The future is not what it used to be. In this volatile era, with the world changing rapidly, people are more curious than ever to know what lies ahead. Will relentless consumerism end up destroying our planet? Or can science and technology allow us to innovate our way out of trouble? Perhaps a greater social consciousness and community-based living will take over or, conversely, the competition for limited resources may result in everyone fighting for themselves.

The tumultuous changes of the past decade, including China's economic rise and the financial meltdown, were just the beginning. The next cataclysmic wave is surging relentlessly ahead, demanding leaders who can steer their companies through complexity and change. Leadership 2030 uncovers six megatrends that will dramatically impact organizations' markets, cultures, systems, and processes.

For years, marketers have held on to unwavering beliefs that have dictated how they market to their consumers. But the hard truth is that the changes we see in marketing and business are based on one undeniable factor - the size of the generations we are selling to. As each generation ages, what they buy and how much they buy will change.

How bad will the current economy get? According to Eric Janszen, we could be facing an unemployment rate of over 10 percent; half of all retail stores boarded up; skeletons of unfinished buildings in our cities; and tax revenues down by 30 percent, leading to big cuts in government services. Sounds grim, but the good news is that this crisis will open the door to a saner economic future if we recognize the opportunity to correct decades of bad policy.

Technology is advancing faster than ever - but for better or for worse? On the one hand, astonishing technological developments from personalized genomics to self-driving cars to drones to artificial intelligence could make our lives healthier, safer, and easier. On the other hand, these very same technologies could raise the specter of a frightening and alienating future - eugenics, a jobless economy, complete loss of privacy, and an ever-worsening spiral of economic inequality.

Globalization, long considered the best route to economic prosperity, is not inevitable. An approach built on the principles of free trade and, since the 1980s, open capital markets is beginning to fracture. With disappointing growth rates across the Western world, nations are no longer willing to sacrifice national interests for global growth, nor are their leaders able - or willing - to sell the idea of pursuing a global agenda of prosperity to their citizens.

As individuals, companies, and countries struggle to recover from the economic crisis, many are narrowly focused on forecasts for the next week, month, or quarter. Yet they should be asking what the global economy will look like in the years to come—where will the long-term risks and opportunities arise? These are the questions that Daniel Altman confronts in his provocative and indispensable book.

What enables great corporate leaders to detect signals that their industry, or perhaps the entire world, is about to change? How are they able to place their companies in a position to capitalize on that change? And how can you become one of those extraordinary people? It boils down to one word - vision. Leaders who lacked it have often guided their companies to obsolescence and failure. The rare leaders who cultivated a strong vision have disrupted industries, created new ones, and remade the world.

How do we stay safe? Should we? What if our attempts are exposing us even more to the very risks we are avoiding? Would acceptance of danger make us more secure? Is there such a thing as foolproof? In Foolproof, Greg Ip presents a macro theory of human nature and disaster that explains how we can keep ourselves safe in our increasingly dangerous world.

Companies emerge from smart people with clever ideas. However, vision alone is not enough, as only one out of three companies lasts 10 years. It takes a systematic approach to make a company sustainably successful. In Your Company Is Your Castle, Sandeep Chennakeshu, a business transformation veteran, compares building a company to that of a medieval castle that has withstood the test of time, having weathered nature's elements and hordes of invaders.

Ein Zweck macht noch keinen Unternehmenserfolg. Seit Simon Sineks TED-Talk treibt das Thema Purpose kuriose Blüten. Der Unternehmenszweck wird vielfach zur Basis aller Strategien, Ziele, Maßnahmen und KPIs erklärt. Für Franz-Rudolf Esch greift das zu kurz. Kein Unternehmen ist nur durch seinen Zweck dauerhaft erfolgreich. Es bedarf weiterer Zutaten, wie klarer Unternehmensgrundsätze, einer ambitionierten Vision und einer starken Marke. Diese fasst Esch im Haltungs- und Visionshaus zusammen, einem Tool, das auf ein DIN-A3-Blatt passt.

Vor einigen Jahren begann Ray Dalio beunruhigende politische und wirtschaftliche Entwicklungen zu bemerken, denen er in seiner 50-jährigen Karriere noch nie zuvor begegnet war. Auf der Suche nach einer Erklärung entdeckte er, dass solche Kombinationen von Bedingungen charakteristisch für Perioden des Übergangs sind, in denen sich Reichtum und Macht in einer Weise verschoben, die die Weltordnung neu gestaltete.

Is your team always stressed out? Are the priorities set by your management unclear? Are you unsure of what every member of the team is working on? If the answer to any of the above questions is yes, then this book will guide you to success. Kanban is a tool that helps teams and organizations concentrate on work and create a shared focus across different departments. It was developed by Taiichi Ohno in the late 1940s to improve the work done by the manufacturing department in Toyota. David Anderson defined the method when he used the tool to improve software development in the IT industry. It is becoming a popular way to visualize the workflow and also limit any work-in-progress items in different industries.

Learn the 25 keys to business organization - sole proprietorship, partnership, corporation, family ownership - including profit sharing, potential liability, tax consequences, and government regulations. Organizing a Company is part of the New York Times Pocket MBA Series, a 12-volume reference tool for all businesspersons.

"Analisi tecnica dei mercati finanziari" include tutto ciò di cui hai bisogno per prendere decisioni di mercato indipendenti e informate che massimizzeranno i tuoi profitti. Il trading di azioni, valute, futures e altri contratti finanziari non è in realtà complicato e chiunque può impararlo in un tempo relativamente breve.

The world stands at a massive pivot point. A paradigm shift not only the way we work and live, but in the core philosophy of culture itself. Today multiple trends and megatrends are converging, bringing about a scale of change not seen in centuries. In this title Chris Marshall, futurist and behavioral scientist as well as head of investment strategy at Dragon Investment Managers, lays out a framework of change, as well as pointing out how we can get better at seeing this change occurring. How innovation plays out and why in the coming era curiosity may well be a superpower.

Um beim Daytrading erfolgreich zu sein, braucht man die richtigen Werkzeuge. Dieses Hörbuch vermittelt Ihnen das nötige Wissen und hilft Ihnen, die richtigen Entscheidungen zu treffen, damit Sie erfolgreich sind und das Risiko auf ein Minimum beschränken können.

Is it possible to predict your financial future? Most business owners spend more time focused on the weather forecast than the status and forecast of their business. The truth is that the weather changes very quickly and is uncontrollable, but our business forecast is much more in our control. What if you could see into the future of your business? What if you had less stress, chaos, and uncertainty, and more influence over where you are going financially?