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The Fourth Turning Is Here

What the Seasons of History Tell Us About How and When This Crisis Will End

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The Fourth Turning Is Here

Written by: Neil Howe
Narrated by: Neil Howe
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About this listen

The visionary behind the best-selling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America’s past to predict our future in this startling and hopeful prophecy for how our present era of civil unrest will resolve over the next 10 years—and what our lives will look like once it has.

Twenty-five years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they’d uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly 80 to 100 years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras—or “turnings”—that always arrive in the same order and each last about 25 years. The last of these eras—the fourth turning—was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution.

Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived. And so Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us—the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war—will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America’s next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.

Illuminating, sobering, yet ultimately empowering, The Fourth Turning Is Here takes you back into history and deep into the collective personality of each living generation to make sense of our current crisis, explore how all of us will be differently affected by the political, social, and economic challenges we’ll face in the decade to come, and reveal how our country, our communities, and our families can best prepare to meet these challenges head-on.

PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.

©2023 Neil Howe (P)2023 Simon & Schuster Audio
Political Science United States American History War Economic disparity
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What the critics say

"There is always profit in reading prophets…. The Fourth Turning Is Here is big history and bold futurology, and the closer it is to the present, the more reasonable it seems." The Wall Street Journal

"Driven by a deep sense that American democracy is at serious risk… [yet Howe predicts that] out of today’s polarization and partisanship will come a new egalitarian, outward-facing, confident and unified America." —Francis Fukuyama, The New York Times

"Arresting, mind-opening, and endlessly stimulating, The Fourth Turning Is Here is a monumental achievement. It's a big, complex, challenging book, daunting in its sweep and erudition, but well worth the effort." —Amy Chua, Yale Law Professor and New York Times bestselling author of Political Tribes

What listeners say about The Fourth Turning Is Here

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Fantastic

The historical analysis and commonalities described in this book made this millennial feel much more at ease about my place in history.

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Almost good

Though the main thesis of the author is solid, and though I enjoyed previous books they wrote, this one has an element of TDS that resonates throughout a large part of the book, and which takes away from the objective voice it’s supposedly written with.

From oversimplification of geopolitical dynamics to domestic political bias - the author misses the mark on a multitude of important aspects.
Detracts from the quality of this piece very much, for me.

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Very Informative, very detailed, very compelling

I have been a fan of Neil’s work since I was turned onto to him at the start of the Pandemic.

My only critique and frustration with this work and Neil’s reliance on establishment polling that most would call irrelevant/biased and until now that frustration is bursting at the seams has not portrayed public sentiment accurately.

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very informative

it was very informative and researched well from what i heard. it was very eye opening as well. many would benefit from listening to this book, so they can prepare for what might come in the near and distant future.

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Speculating on the future and giving a history lesson

Like the current history and predictions, didn’t like the time spent on historical events that took place over 250 years ago

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Got the message from the Forth Turning

Not required reading if you read The Forth Turning. Okay for intellectual types but time would be better spent on other works. His original work makes sense and is very much a reflection of what is happening.

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Weak historical analysis to describe the future

Any real history fan will come away from this book thinking it lacks any real analysis. Author states something is the case, or what people thought, felt at a particular time without providing any questions or really direct sources to provide support. Looks at events only in contexts that supports his arguments rather than at the larger, far more complex situations they are. There are reasons typically historical events cannot be summed up in a few paragraphs or a chapter. You need to look at many factors, and provide supportand this often leads to books or series themselves.

Yes many things can be cyclical. Hard times make tough people. Tough people eventually lead to easier times that make softer people that then have to become hard when hard times come. When plenty is available people are happy. When it's not discord happens. The authors premise isn't really unique it's more just using weak historical analysis to discuss this pattern.

Author regularly casually discusses the work of others in various fields without critiquing their work and assuming you know about it, and assume it's accurate.

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