Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Bob Michele & Gautam Mukunda.

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- US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick
- Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management
- George Saravelos, Global Head: FX Research at Deutsche Bank
- Monica Guerra, Head of US Policy at Morgan Stanley

US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick joins for an extended discussion on President Trump's tariff and trade policies. Bob Michele of JPMorgan Asset Management discusses how the bond market is weighing the risks of the US-led trade war. Monica Guerra of Morgan Stanley outlines how traders should position themselves for the specifics of President Trump's tariff strategy. George Saravelos, Global Head: FX Research at Deutsche Bank, talks about his research notes outlining the FX impact of tariffs.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMarch 5th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, joins for an extended discussion on bonds and fixed income, and warning signals following the implementation of President Trump's tariffs. The dollar fell to a three-month low due to concerns about the negative impact of US tariffs on the economy, with losses particularly stark against the euro. The dollar's downward trend is fueled by concerns that a global trade war - prompted by Trump's tariffs - will weigh on economic growth.
2) Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, reacts to President Trump's address to Congress and how it could ripple through markets. President Trump defended his tariff plan, saying it would raise "trillions and trillions" in revenue and rebalance trading relationships, despite acknowledging potential economic pain.
3) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins for an extended discussion on whether it's time to stay in the market or rotate out of equities. Recent eco data showed that manufacturers are struggling with price pressures and uncertainty regarding tariffs and signaled a potential for a slowdown in US growth.
4) Regina Mayor, Global Head of Clients & Markets at KPMG, joins to talk about the potential for rising energy prices in the US and abroad and whether they could be lowered from the Trump administration's energy policies. President Trump's tariffs on imported goods from top trading partners are likely to increase the cost of home heat pumps, battery storage systems, and electric cars in the US.

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